Just arrived back from a week on the West Coast, spent mostly luxuriating in the TED Conference, which was an utter joy to attend. Interestingly, it seems to have been very lightly blogged, given its technology focus and the wifi network set up in the downstairs "simulcast" auditorium. So here are a couple of impressions/highlights...
First, there was very little pure salesmanship on the stage, at least in the form of someone pitching a product that they were trying largely to make money off of. Dean Kamen (who tooled around on a Segway the entire week) talked about his portable Stirling Engine/Water Purification system, which he no doubt intends to make money off, but it was pretty clear from the talk -- which was note-perfect -- that what was driving him was a progressive, world-improving vision, not a profit motive. Most of the talks were either dire forecasts about our near and long-term future or uplifting glimpses of ideas that might keep that future from happening. In between were a few celebrations of amazing-tech-for-amazing-tech's-sake, and some wonderful performances. You know you're at a pretty unusual conference when Thomas Dolby is the guy on the side of the stage playing a keyboard to let the speakers know they have only two minutes left for their talks.
A few specific items:
A number of presenters introduced a slide by saying, "this is the most important graph you'll see all year." But by my lights the most compelling -- and terrifying -- one was shown early on by Laurie Garrett: what demographers are calling the "chimney" effect in Africa's population. It basically shows two populations superimposed over each other: the population of Africa with AIDS, and what it would have been like without AIDS. It's basically a society of infants, teenagers and grandparents with almost no one in between -- no 20-50 year-olds to create a workforce or educate the kids. Absolutely gruesome.
On a lighter note, Marvin Minsky walked through a couple of half-serious ideas for combating the population explosion -- ideas that he seemed a little surprised that no one was yet exploring. My favorite: make people smaller! If we're going to be able to genetically engineer ourselves, maybe we should work on shrinking ourselves down so the planet can fit more of us. As Minsky pointed out, a 6-inch person is a thousand times smaller, volume-wise, than a normal-sized one. Of course, he didn't get into the crucial corollary problem we'd have to solve if we pulled this off -- namely, Giant Killer Squirrels -- but I'm sure with time we could solve that one too.
The first day ended with a one-two punch that you probably won't see again. DJ Spooky as an opening act for Freeman Dyson. I loved Dyson's idea that if the universe doesn't turn out to be teeming with life, perhaps then it should be up to us to plant the seeds, by sending out extremophile sunflowers capable of thriving in the cold vacuum of space.
Mitch Kapor gave a great talk on his open source Chandler project, and I grilled Mitch over lunch about all the features I wanted to see show up in the final version. No matter what I threw at him, he'd say: "That's easy -- of course you'll be able to do that in Chandler." In other words, I can't wait.
Only real disappointment: Brian Eno, who was supposed to be part of the Emergence panel, canceled at the last minute, because his opposition to the war made traveling to America and talking about music seem intolerable. I understand the sentiment, but I don't think any of us would have objected if he had come and thundered against the war instead of talking about music (as many of the presenters chose to do.)
My talk would have been familiar to readers of this blog: after a little intro on why NYC was so resilient in the immediate wake of 9/11, I talked about all the interesting emergent things happening on the web right now: I did a little bit on two-way links, a little Googleshare fun, a lot of Technorati plugs (Sifry, you owe me big time!), and ended with a recap of the power law debate, which no one else mentioned on the stage. I think it went over pretty well -- I'd preloaded it with some very nice Keynote visual effects and a couple of meta-conference jokes that I knew would work, so I actually found myself really looking forward to getting up on stage. I don't think I've ever given a talk in front of a crowd where so many people had read my book -- lots of wonderful conversations with new folks telling me how Emergence had inspired them. Very rewarding all around.
Updated March 7, 11:00 AM: Here's a snapshot of me giving my talk -- note my lovely Keynote presentation in the background.