« The little things | Main | This year's model »

Comments

Maciej Ceglowski

One thing that kept me scratching my head after the Wired article was why a terrorist would bother with a truck, rather than using a light aircraft.

I understand that a homemade nuclear weapon would be too heavy to deliver by air, but by filling a small prop plane or jet with canisters of radioactive material and jet fuel, you could target an urban center while avoiding all the elaborate sensors described in the Wired piece.

Assuming the radioactivity is not too intense ( and a suicide bomber doesn't care about getting a lethal dose, as long as it isn't immediately fatal ), a crop duster makes even more sense. Imagine the effect of several gallons of dissolved radioactive cesium salts sprayed over midtown.

Even if by some miracle an attacking plane were identified and shot down, the radioactive material would still be dispersed over a wide area. What's more, the high kinetic energy of a plane impact would reduce the need for lots of explosives - you might not even need any, just the contaminant and a bunch of hot-burning fuel.

What am I missing?

Steven Johnson

Maciej, you're not missing anything with the airplane threat -- it certainly would be the way to go if we built a comprehensive atomic wall on the ground. (And maybe we're in the middle of doing so.) I probably should have at least pointed to this in the piece, but my feeling about air threats is basically that they're much, much easier to deal with than ground threats. I have a pretty good view of the new york city area out my window, and at any given moment I can see hundreds of cars and trucks moving through the region. But there's almost never more than one flying thing visible (ie., jet, helicopter, prop, etc), and usually none. And it's a lot easier to see the flying things out my window then it is to see all the cars and trucks.

In other words, you'd need a separate system to police the air above big cities, but in the air you're dealing with a finite number of potential delivery vehicles, as opposed to the hundreds of thousands of ground vehicles flowing through an urban area every day...

Tommy

A few months after 9.11 “60 Minutes” did a feature on the lax security at most of our ports, echoing many of the concerns you raised in “Stopping Loose Nukes.” Your statement, “Container ports are the natural first brick in any "atomic wall" of radiation detection,” couldn't be more accurate.

In the “60 Minutes” story they had an interview with an individual that highlighted how easy it would be to ship a nuclear device into a second tier or less secure port. It then could be shipped to New York, Washington, D.C. or another major metro area via train or truck. Once it was near the desired target it could be activated via a cell phone or GPS device.

As you suggest, we need to use technology in a “wall” type fashion. Our country is too large and open to protect everything 24/7. We have to focus our attention and resources on the areas most vulnerable. Ports, airports, and access (railroad and highways) to major metro areas.

Terrorist operate by looking for loopholes, which are easier to locate in a free and open society. We need to pay what it takes and close as many of these loopholes as possible. Some R&D funding wouldn't hurt either.

Anil

Looks like the atomic wall is in place.

The comments to this entry are closed.

My Photo

SBJ via Twitter

    follow me on Twitter

    The Basics

    • I'm a father of three boys, husband of one wife, and author of seven books, and co-founder of three web sites. We spend most of the year in Marin County, California though I'm on the road a lot giving talks. (You can see the full story here.) Personal correspondence should go to sbeej at earthlink dot net. Media requests should go to Matthew.Venzon at us.penguingroup dot com. If you're interested in having me speak at an event, drop a line to Wesley Neff at the Leigh Bureau (WesN at Leighbureau dot com.)

    My Books

    • : Where Good Ideas Come From: The Natural History of Innovation

      Where Good Ideas Come From: The Natural History of Innovation
      An exploration of environments that lead to breakthrough innovation, in science, technology, business, and the arts. I conceived it as the closing book in a trilogy on innovative thinking, after Ghost Map and Invention. But in a way, it completes an investigation that runs through all the books. Sold more copies in hardcover than anything else I've written.

    • : The Invention of Air

      The Invention of Air
      The story of the British radical chemist Joseph Priestley, who ended up having a Zelig-like role in the American Revolution. My version of a founding fathers book, and a reminder that most of the Enlightenment was driven by open source ideals.

    • : The Ghost Map

      The Ghost Map
      The latest: the story of a terrifying outbreak of cholera in 1854 London 1854 that ended up changing the world. An idea book wrapped around a page-turner. I like to think of it as a sequel to Emergence if Emergence had been a disease thriller. You can see a trailer for the book here.

    • : Everything Bad Is Good for You: How Today's Popular Culture Is Actually Making Us Smarter

      Everything Bad Is Good for You: How Today's Popular Culture Is Actually Making Us Smarter
      The title says it all. This one sparked a slightly insane international conversation about the state of pop culture -- and particularly games. There were more than a few dissenters, but the response was more positive than I had expected. And it got me on The Daily Show, which made it all worthwhile.

    • : Mind Wide Open : Your Brain and the Neuroscience of Everyday Life

      Mind Wide Open : Your Brain and the Neuroscience of Everyday Life
      My first best-seller, and the only book I've written in which I appear as a recurring character, subjecting myself to a battery of humiliating brain scans. The last chapter on Freud and the neuroscientific model of the mind is one of my personal favorites.

    • : Emergence: The Connected Lives of Ants, Brains, Cities, and Software

      Emergence: The Connected Lives of Ants, Brains, Cities, and Software
      The story of bottom-up intelligence, from slime mold to Slashdot. Probably the most critically well-received all my books, and the one that has influenced the most eclectic mix of fields: political campaigns, web business models, urban planning, the war on terror.

    • : Interface Culture : How New Technology Transforms the Way We Create and Communicate

      Interface Culture : How New Technology Transforms the Way We Create and Communicate
      My first. The book I wrote instead of finishing my dissertation. Still in print almost a decade later, and still relevant, I think. But I haven't read it in a while, so who knows what's in there!

    Blog powered by TypePad